TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET market resolves at Jun 5, 2026. The outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at 8:00PM ET on June 4 to its price at 4:00PM ET on the same day. If the closing price is higher, the Up outcome wins; if lower, the Down outcome wins. Resolution occurs after the market window closes and the final price data is confirmed, at which point winning shares are worth $1 and losing shares expire worthless.
Several catalysts could drive Ethereum's four-hour price direction on June 4. Macro economic announcements—Federal Reserve statements, inflation data, or risk-sentiment shifts—often trigger crypto volatility. On-chain activity, such as large whale transactions or smart contract deployments, can signal bullish or bearish momentum. Bitcoin price action frequently leads Ethereum moves, so BTC direction matters. Regulatory news, exchange outflows or inflows, and technical breakouts through key support or resistance levels all influence short-term swings. Monitoring these signals in real time helps traders anticipate directional bias during the 4:00PM–8:00PM ET window.