TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring by the resolution deadline. As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to balance supply and demand. Higher trading volume typically narrows bid-ask spreads and increases price precision. Polymarket's transparent order book allows you to see all pending bids and asks, helping you understand market depth and liquidity for this event.
Several catalysts could influence Ethereum's price direction by June 4, 2PM ET, including major protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, and Bitcoin price movements. Ethereum-specific developments such as staking changes, layer-2 adoption milestones, or security incidents can trigger sharp directional moves. Broader crypto market sentiment, Federal Reserve policy signals, and traditional finance volatility often correlate with Ethereum trading. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and whale transactions may signal accumulation or distribution. Monitoring these signals and updating your market view accordingly can help inform your trading decisions on Polymarket.