TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET

Volume:
$11,780

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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24h
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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this binary crypto event. It displays the current implied probability of Ethereum moving up or down by the specified threshold at the June 4, 11AM ET snapshot. The dashboard updates continuously with Polymarket order-book data, showing 24-hour volume, price history, and liquidity depth. Traders use this live feed to monitor shifting sentiment and execute positions as new information emerges. The interface aggregates all bets placed on Polymarket for this specific event, providing a transparent view of market conviction.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective forecast of Ethereum's price direction by June 4, 11AM ET, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst consensus. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets embed longer-term directional bets with defined resolution criteria. Comparing Polymarket odds to traditional analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether traders expect a significant move or stability. Discrepancies between prediction odds and spot-market implied volatility may signal information asymmetry or differing risk appetites among market participants.

On Polymarket, the Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET contract is priced as a binary outcome with two opposing sides: one betting Ethereum moves up and the other betting it moves down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%), reflecting the probability implied by order flow. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust continuously as new trades execute. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects liquidity and uncertainty; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence or deeper order books.

Major catalysts for Ethereum price direction include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data (inflation, interest rates), Bitcoin momentum, and Ethereum-specific developments such as network upgrades or staking changes. Large institutional flows, options expiry dates, and derivative liquidations can trigger sharp moves. Sentiment shifts on social media and crypto news outlets often precede price swings. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may attract algorithmic trading. Geopolitical events and traditional market volatility can also ripple into crypto. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics, whale wallet activity, and futures funding rates for early signals of directional bias.