TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 2PM ET
predict
polymarket

Will Ethereum be up at June 30, 2PM ET?

Volume:
$3,242

Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 2PM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 2PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 2PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 2PM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$46,322
$223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's ETH/USDT price on Binance closes higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle window. The market resolves to 'Up' if close >= open, and 'Down' otherwise, using Binance's official 1H candle data as the single source of truth.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The predict platform specifies June 29, 2PM ET as the candle start time, while polymarket specifies June 30, 2PM ET. This one-day offset means the markets are referencing different 1-hour candle periods on Binance, making them fundamentally different events despite identical resolution logic. This creates irreconcilable settlement ambiguity.Hero tip: Do not trade across these platforms assuming they settle the same way. Contact both platforms immediately to confirm whether this is a typo or intentional separation. If intentional, treat as two distinct markets. If unintentional, one platform will need to correct its date before the candle closes to avoid forced cancellation or litigation.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Event title and question both specify 'June 29, 2PM ET'. Resolution uses the ETH/USDT 1H candle beginning at that exact time on Binance, comparing close >= open. Key quote: 'the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title' (June 29, 2PM ET).
  • polymarket: Question specifies 'June 30, 2PM ET'. Resolution uses the ETH/USDT 1H candle beginning at that exact time on Binance, comparing close >= open. Key quote: 'the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title' (June 30, 2PM ET).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, not what spot prices suggest today. If this market shows strong conviction toward an up outcome, it signals traders expect bullish momentum or catalysts before the June 30 deadline. Conversely, balanced odds near 50–50 indicate genuine uncertainty. These odds often diverge from technical analysis or sentiment indices because they embed real financial incentives—traders with skin in the game are pricing in tail risks and event probabilities that casual observers might miss.

Major catalysts include Ethereum network upgrades, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite, and Bitcoin price action—since ETH often correlates with BTC. Large on-chain transactions, staking changes, or developer sentiment can also shift trader conviction. Additionally, broader crypto market events, central bank policy shifts, or geopolitical developments that impact liquidity may trigger sharp repricing. Watch for unusual volume spikes on either side, which often precede directional moves.