TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Ethereum's direction by June 3, 7AM ET, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term sentiment and event risk. Comparing Polymarket's implied probability to analyst price targets or technical analysis can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish bias relative to consensus expectations.
The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by Ethereum's price movement relative to a specified reference point at the exact time of 7AM ET on June 3. Traders who correctly predicted the direction of that move receive payouts proportional to their shares. The specific price data source and comparison methodology are established in the market's terms to ensure objective, verifiable settlement.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin price movements, Ethereum network upgrades or security incidents, and shifts in institutional or retail sentiment. Geopolitical events, central bank policy decisions, and broader equity market volatility can also influence Ethereum's direction. Technical levels and options expiry dates may create price pressure near the resolution time, while social media trends and whale trading activity often signal short-term momentum shifts.