TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Ethereum's direction by June 3, 2PM ET, often diverging from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets incorporate longer-term expectations and event risk. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts ahead of the resolution date.
The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by Ethereum's price direction at the specified snapshot time of June 3, 2PM ET. The outcome hinges on whether the price has moved up or down from a reference level established at market creation. Traders should monitor the exact resolution criteria and reference price on Polymarket to understand how their position will settle.
Key catalysts include macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve announcements, and crypto-specific news such as regulatory developments or major protocol upgrades. Bitcoin price movements often drive Ethereum sentiment, as do changes in DeFi activity and staking yields. Market-wide risk-off events, exchange outflows, or whale transactions can trigger sharp directional moves. Monitoring on-chain metrics, funding rates, and social sentiment alongside traditional finance calendars will help you anticipate shifts in Polymarket odds leading up to June 3, 2PM ET.