TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8AM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Ethereum be up at June 29, 8AM ET?

Volume:
$18,496

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8AM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8AM ET

N/A
N/A
—
$2,081
$1,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's price on the ETH/USDT pair at Binance will close higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning June 29, 2024 at 8:00 AM ET. Resolution depends on the finalized close and open prices from Binance's official 1H candlestick data for that specific time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria tied to Binance ETH/USDT 1H candle close versus open price comparison, with no divergence in logic, timing, or data source.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1H candlestick chart (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candlestick that begins on June 29, 2024 at 8:00 AM ET on Binance ETH/USDT
  • Once the candle is finalized, extract the open price (O) and close price (C) displayed at the top of the 1H chart
  • If close price >= open price, resolve to Up
  • If close price < open price, resolve to Down
  • Only Binance ETH/USDT data is valid; other exchanges or trading pairs are explicitly excluded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact tie (close equals open): Resolves to Up, as the condition is close >= open (inclusive)
  • Data finalization delay: Resolution occurs once the 1H candle is finalized on Binance; partial or real-time data is not used
  • Exchange outage or data unavailability: Not explicitly addressed in resolution rules; would likely trigger cancellation or dispute resolution per platform policy
  • Timezone interpretation: 8AM ET is the fixed reference; Binance server time conversion is implicit in the candle timestamp
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle beginning June 29, 2024 at 8:00 AM ET closes and its data is finalized on Binance (approximately 9:00 AM ET)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum price movement market aggregates trader positions across Polymarket and Predict, offering a unified view of consensus expectations for ETH's direction. This dashboard surfaces real-time odds from both platforms, letting you compare how each community is pricing the outcome. By tracking the same event across multiple venues, you gain insight into whether conviction is concentrated or split. The cross-platform lens reveals which direction traders favor and highlights any pricing gaps that may signal opportunity or risk.

Macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve commentary, and broader crypto sentiment can all shift trader positioning ahead of the snapshot. Major Ethereum network upgrades, regulatory announcements, or large on-chain transactions may trigger repricing. Bitcoin volatility often influences altcoin markets, so BTC momentum is worth watching. Technical levels and options expiry dates can also create momentum. Real-time news flow and social media discussion often precede visible price moves, so monitoring community sentiment alongside order book depth helps anticipate shifts in this market's odds.