TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6AM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Ethereum be up or down on June 29 at 6AM ET?

Volume:
$6,912

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6AM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6AM ET

N/A
N/A
—
$1,753
$1,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's price on Binance (ETH/USDT pair) closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning June 29, 2024 at 6:00 AM ET. Resolution is binary: 'Up' if close >= open, otherwise 'Down'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical binary logic comparing close price to open price for the June 29, 6AM ET 1-hour candle on Binance ETH/USDT, with no divergence in criteria, source, or interpretation.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1-hour candle chart display (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins on June 29, 2024 at 6:00 AM ET on Binance ETH/USDT
  • Extract the open price (O) and close price (C) from that candle once finalized
  • Resolve to 'Up' if close price >= open price
  • Resolve to 'Down' if close price < open price
  • Use only Binance ETH/USDT data; other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact tie (close equals open): Market resolves to 'Up' per the >= condition in the resolution criteria
  • Candle finalization delay: Resolution occurs once the 1-hour candle data is finalized on Binance; partial or real-time data is not used
  • Exchange outage or data unavailability: Not explicitly addressed in source material; resolution would depend on platform's standard dispute/cancellation procedures
  • Timezone conversion accuracy: June 29, 6AM ET corresponds to a specific UTC time; both platforms must use consistent conversion to identify the correct 1-hour candle
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle beginning June 29, 2024 at 6:00 AM ET closes and Binance finalizes the candle data, typically within minutes of the candle closeOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Major catalysts include Ethereum network upgrades, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data (inflation, Fed policy), Bitcoin volatility, and large on-chain transactions or whale movements. Technical levels and support/resistance zones can also trigger algorithmic trading and cascade liquidations. Sentiment shifts around DeFi hacks, staking changes, or competing L1 blockchains may sway trader conviction. News cycles, geopolitical events, and broader crypto market sentiment ripple through this market constantly. Watch for sudden volume spikes or odds swings—they often precede significant price moves.