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Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 3PM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Ethereum be up at 3PM ET on June 29?

Volume:
$6,552

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 3PM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
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Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 3PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 3PM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,360
$569
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's price on Binance (ETH/USDT pair) closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning at 3PM ET on June 29. The market resolves to 'Up' if close >= open, otherwise 'Down', using only Binance's official 1H candle data as the settlement source.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms specify identical resolution criteria, the same Binance data source, and the same settlement timing, with no contradictions or scope differences detected.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1H candle chart display (close and open prices displayed at the top of the graph)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins at 3PM ET on June 29, 2024
  • Extract the open price (O) and close price (C) from Binance ETH/USDT 1H chart once candle data is finalized
  • If close price >= open price, resolve to 'Up'
  • If close price < open price, resolve to 'Down'
  • Resolution uses only Binance data; no alternative exchanges or trading pairs are considered

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact tie (close equals open): Market resolves to 'Up' per the >= condition in the resolution criteria
  • Data finalization delay: Resolution occurs once the 1H candle data is finalized on Binance; if data is unavailable or corrupted, resolution may be delayed or require manual intervention
  • Exchange outage or data unavailability: No alternative source is specified; if Binance data is inaccessible, the market cannot be resolved and may be cancelled or escalated
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle that begins at 3PM ET on June 29, 2024 closes and its data is finalized on Binance (approximately 4PM ET on June 29, 2024)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds represent collective trader conviction about directional movement, not absolute price targets. Unlike spot prices, which reflect current exchange valuations, these odds encode probabilistic bets on whether Ethereum will move up or down within a defined window. If this market shows balanced odds near fifty-fifty, traders see roughly equal conviction on both sides. Spot price momentum, volatility, and macroeconomic catalysts all influence how traders position, but prediction odds often lead spot prices by incorporating forward-looking sentiment and positioning flows that haven't yet moved the market.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket may draw institutional traders with longer holding periods, while Predict might see more retail flow or different leverage constraints. Latency in cross-platform arbitrage, regional user bases, and platform-specific incentives or promotional activity can all widen spreads. Savvy traders monitor these divergences to identify mispricings and execute profitable hedges across venues.

Ethereum price action is sensitive to macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, and crypto-specific developments such as network upgrades, regulatory news, or major exchange listings. Bitcoin momentum often sets the tone for altcoin sentiment, so BTC moves can cascade into ETH volatility. Large liquidations, whale transactions, or shifts in staking yields may also trigger repricing. Technical levels, options expiry calendars, and broader risk-on or risk-off sentiment swings in equities can all shift trader positioning in this market before the deadline arrives.