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Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12PM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Ethereum be up at June 29, 12PM ET?

Volume:
$9,783

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12PM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,291
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12PM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,974
$1,491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's price on Binance (ETH/USDT pair) closes higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle beginning June 29, 2024 at 12:00 PM ET. Resolution depends on the finalized close and open prices from Binance's 1H candlestick chart for that exact time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria: Close >= Open for the ETH/USDT 1H candle starting June 29, 12PM ET on Binance resolves to Up; otherwise Down.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1H candlestick chart at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins on June 29, 2024 at 12:00 PM ET on Binance ETH/USDT
  • Extract the Open price (O) and Close price (C) from that candle once finalized
  • If Close >= Open, resolve to Up
  • If Close < Open, resolve to Down
  • Resolution uses only Binance data; other exchanges or trading pairs are explicitly excluded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle finalization timing: Resolution occurs after the 1H candle closes (13:00 PM ET on June 29). Binance candlestick data must be finalized before settlement.
  • Equal prices (tie): If Close equals Open exactly, the market resolves to Up per the >= condition in the resolution criteria.
  • Data unavailability: If Binance ETH/USDT data is unavailable or corrupted for the specified candle, resolution may be delayed or require platform discretion; however, no such contingency is explicitly stated in the rules.
  • Exchange outage or halts: The rules do not address trading halts, circuit breakers, or exchange maintenance during the 1H window. Binance's recorded candle data as displayed is the sole arbiter.
Timing: Resolution occurs after 13:00 PM ET on June 29, 2024, once the 1H candlestick for the 12:00 PM ET - 13:00 PM ET window is finalized on Binance.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect trader conviction about future price movement, which often diverges from current spot prices. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets embed forward-looking sentiment and event risk. Traders here are betting on a specific outcome at a defined time, so the odds incorporate expectations about volatility, news flow, and macro conditions between now and resolution. If this market shows strong consensus in one direction, it suggests traders expect momentum or a catalyst; balanced odds near 50–50 signal genuine uncertainty about the direction of movement.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin price swings, and Ethereum-specific developments like network upgrades or large token transfers. Broader crypto sentiment shifts, central bank policy signals, and traditional market volatility can also ripple into this market. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows or whale activity may signal trader positioning changes. Monitoring social sentiment, developer updates, and correlation with equities or commodities will help you anticipate directional moves before the market reprices.