TOTAL VOLUME:

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$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4PM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Ethereum be up or down on June 28 at 4PM ET?

Volume:
$5,384

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4PM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
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Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
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7d
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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4PM ET

N/A
N/A
—
$3,205
$1,391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's price on the ETH/USDT pair at Binance closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning June 28, 2024 at 4:00 PM ET. Resolution depends on the finalized close and open prices from Binance's official 1H candlestick data for that specific time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: Close >= Open for the ETH/USDT 1H candle starting June 28, 4PM ET on Binance, with no divergence in logic, source, or settlement methodology.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1-hour candlestick data displayed at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candlestick that begins on June 28, 2024 at 4:00 PM ET on Binance ETH/USDT
  • Extract the Open price (O) and Close price (C) from the finalized candle data
  • Resolve to Up if Close >= Open; resolve to Down if Close < Open
  • Use only Binance ETH/USDT data; ignore other exchanges or trading pairs

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle Finalization Timing: Resolution occurs once the 1-hour candle is complete and Binance data is finalized. The candle ending at 5:00 PM ET on June 28 is the relevant period.
  • Exact Tie (Close = Open): Market resolves to Up, as the resolution criterion is Close >= Open (greater than or equal to).
  • Data Source Unavailability: If Binance ETH/USDT data is unavailable or corrupted, resolution may be delayed or require platform discretion, though no such clause is explicitly stated in either platform's terms.
  • Exchange Halts or Anomalies: Resolution uses the candle data as displayed on Binance at the time of finalization; no adjustment for exchange outages or flash crashes is mentioned.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle closes at 5:00 PM ET on June 28, 2024, once Binance candlestick data is finalized and confirmed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect aggregate trader beliefs about future price action, often incorporating signals that spot markets lag—such as upcoming regulatory news, macroeconomic shifts, or on-chain activity. While spot prices react to immediate supply and demand, this market prices in probabilistic outcomes over a defined window. Traders use both sources together: spot prices show current valuation, while prediction odds reveal where informed participants expect movement. The gap between them can highlight mispricing or consensus shifts before they materialize on exchanges.

Major catalysts include Ethereum network upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto assets, macroeconomic data (inflation, interest rates), Bitcoin price swings, and large on-chain transactions or smart contract developments. Geopolitical events, central bank policy shifts, and sentiment shifts in traditional finance can also ripple into crypto markets. Technical levels and options expiry dates may trigger algorithmic trading. Monitoring news, on-chain metrics, and correlation with equities will help you anticipate moves before this market reprices.