TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2AM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Ethereum be up or down on June 28 at 2AM ET?

Volume:
$8,181

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2AM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 3:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2AM ET

N/A
N/A
—
$1,312
$944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's price on Binance (ETH/USDT pair) closes higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle beginning June 28, 2024 at 2:00 AM ET. Resolution depends on the finalized close and open prices from Binance's 1H chart for that exact time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria tied to Binance ETH/USDT 1H candle close versus open price comparison with no divergence in logic, source, or settlement method.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1H candle chart display (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins on June 28, 2024 at 2:00 AM ET on Binance ETH/USDT
  • Once the candle is finalized, compare the close price (C) to the open price (O) displayed at the top of the 1H chart
  • If close price >= open price, resolve to Up
  • If close price < open price, resolve to Down
  • Resolution uses only Binance data; no alternative exchanges or trading pairs are considered

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Price equality: If close price equals open price exactly, the market resolves to Up (per the >= condition in the resolution rule)
  • Data finalization timing: Resolution occurs only after the 1-hour candle is fully finalized on Binance; partial or real-time data is not used
  • Exchange outage or data unavailability: No contingency source is specified; if Binance data is unavailable or corrupted, resolution criteria do not address fallback procedures
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle beginning June 28, 2024 at 2:00 AM ET closes and its data is finalized on Binance (approximately 3:00 AM ET on June 28, 2024)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum price movement market aggregates trader positions across Polymarket and Predict, capturing real-time consensus on whether ETH will trade higher or lower by a specific moment. This dashboard displays the current odds from both venues, allowing you to compare how each platform's participants are pricing the directional move. Cross-platform tracking reveals whether consensus is unified or split, and shows which outcome is favored. The Ethereum price movement market reflects live trader conviction updated continuously as new information emerges and positions shift.

Macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, and major crypto regulatory announcements are primary catalysts for directional shifts. On-chain metrics such as large whale transactions, exchange inflows, or staking changes can trigger repricing. Market-wide volatility spikes, correlation with traditional equities, or shifts in risk sentiment often drive rapid odds swings. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and competing narratives around Ethereum's roadmap also influence trader positioning leading into resolution.