TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Ethereum be up at June 28, 11PM ET?

Volume:
$6,246

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,419
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3,459
$827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's price on Binance (ETH/USDT pair) closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning at June 28, 11PM ET. Resolution depends on the finalized close and open prices from Binance's 1H candlestick chart for that specific time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: Close >= Open for the Binance ETH/USDT 1-hour candle beginning June 28, 11PM ET resolves to Up; otherwise Down.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1-hour candlestick data (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins at June 28, 11PM ET on Binance ETH/USDT
  • Extract the Open (O) and Close (C) prices once the candle is finalized
  • If Close >= Open, resolve to Up
  • If Close < Open, resolve to Down
  • Only Binance ETH/USDT data is valid; no alternative exchanges or trading pairs are accepted

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle finalization timing: Resolution uses data once the 1-hour candle is fully finalized (i.e., after 12AM ET on June 29). Partial or real-time data is not used.
  • Open equals Close: When Open price equals Close price, the market resolves to Up (>= condition is satisfied).
  • Data source exclusivity: Only Binance ETH/USDT pair is authoritative. Prices from other exchanges (Coinbase, Kraken, etc.) or other trading pairs (ETH/USDC, etc.) are not considered.
  • Exchange outage or data unavailability: If Binance data is unavailable or corrupted, resolution may be delayed or require platform discretion; however, no alternative source is specified in the rules.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle closes at 12AM ET on June 29, 2024, once Binance finalizes the candlestick data.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds distill trader expectations into a single probability, whereas spot prices reflect only the most recent transaction. This market's odds encode forward-looking sentiment about Ethereum's direction over a defined window, often incorporating macro signals, on-chain activity, and sentiment that lag behind price discovery. Traders willing to stake capital on their conviction typically embed information faster than casual observers. When odds diverge sharply from what you'd infer from recent price action alone, it often signals either mispricing or anticipated catalysts not yet reflected in the spot market.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader cohorts with different risk appetites, liquidity profiles, and access to information. Polymarket and Predict may also enforce different fee structures, settlement timelines, or user verification standards, all of which influence how aggressively traders bid. Temporary liquidity imbalances on one venue can widen spreads, while arbitrage traders may not instantly bridge small gaps due to withdrawal delays or slippage costs. These microstructure differences mean the same event can trade at slightly different odds across venues, creating opportunities for sophisticated traders.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin volatility, and Ethereum-specific developments such as network upgrades or large token transfers. Sentiment shifts driven by social media, institutional adoption news, or changes in staking yields can also swing odds rapidly. Technical levels and options expiry dates often trigger momentum moves. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and correlation with traditional markets helps anticipate directional pressure. Large trader positions or whale accumulation detected on-chain can signal conviction and move odds before the broader market reacts.