TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9PM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Ethereum be up at June 27, 9PM ET?

Volume:
$8,919

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9PM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 10:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9PM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,269
$656
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closes higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on June 27 at 9PM ET, using Binance as the authoritative price source. Resolution is binary: 'Up' if close >= open, 'Down' otherwise.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: close >= open resolves to Up, otherwise Down, using Binance ETH/USDT 1H candle data only.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1-hour candle chart display (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins at June 27, 9PM ET on Binance ETH/USDT
  • Extract the open price (O) and close price (C) from that candle once finalized
  • If C >= O, resolve to Up
  • If C < O, resolve to Down
  • Only Binance ETH/USDT data is valid; other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle finalization timing: Resolution uses data once the 1-hour candle is finalized on Binance. Real-time or partial candle data is not used.
  • Open equals close: If open price equals close price, the market resolves to Up (due to >= operator in the rule).
  • Data source exclusivity: Only Binance ETH/USDT pair is authoritative. Prices from other exchanges, spot/futures variations, or alternative pairs are not considered.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle beginning June 27, 9PM ET is finalized on Binance, typically within minutes of 10PM ET on June 27.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets on directional movement, whereas spot prices represent current market consensus at a single moment. Traders on this market are pricing in volatility, upcoming events, and macro sentiment over the specified window. If odds heavily favor one direction, it suggests traders expect momentum or a catalyst; balanced odds near 50–50 indicate genuine uncertainty. Spot price alone doesn't capture forward-looking conviction the way prediction markets do, since participants risk capital on their thesis. Comparing the two reveals whether traditional price action aligns with where informed traders are positioning themselves.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different user demographics, liquidity pools, and trading strategies, which can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity or more active traders in crypto, while Predict might draw a different cohort with distinct risk appetites. Fees, withdrawal policies, and platform UI also influence where traders choose to place bets. Additionally, arbitrage opportunities between venues may not close instantly if transaction costs or regulatory friction make cross-platform trading expensive. Monitoring both prices helps you spot mispricings and understand which platform's crowd is more confident in a given outcome.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin price action, and Ethereum-specific developments like network upgrades or staking changes. Large exchange inflows or outflows can signal accumulation or distribution, shifting trader conviction. Broader crypto sentiment swings tied to Fed policy, inflation reports, or geopolitical events often ripple through altcoin markets. Technical levels and options expiry dates may also trigger volatility. Monitoring on-chain metrics, social sentiment, and traditional finance headlines will help you anticipate shifts in this market's pricing before resolution.