TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Ethereum be up on June 27 at 7AM ET?

Volume:
$4,483

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's price on Binance (ETH/USDT pair) closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning June 27, 2024 at 7:00 AM ET. Resolution depends on the finalized close and open prices from Binance's 1H chart for that specific candle.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: Close price >= Open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 1H candle beginning June 27, 7AM ET resolves to Up; otherwise Down.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1H candle chart display (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins on June 27, 2024 at 7:00 AM ET on Binance ETH/USDT
  • Extract the Open price (O) and Close price (C) from the finalized candle data
  • If Close >= Open, resolve to Up
  • If Close < Open, resolve to Down
  • Resolution uses only Binance ETH/USDT data; other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle finalization timing: Resolution occurs after the 1H candle closes (8:00 AM ET). Binance must display finalized OHLC data before settlement.
  • Price equality: If Close price exactly equals Open price, the market resolves to Up per the >= condition.
  • Data unavailability: If Binance ETH/USDT 1H chart is unavailable or corrupted, resolution may be delayed or require platform discretion; however, no such contingency is specified in the rules.
  • Exchange halts or anomalies: The rules do not address trading halts, flash crashes, or data anomalies; resolution relies on Binance's official displayed values.
Timing: Resolution occurs after 8:00 AM ET on June 27, 2024, once the 1H candle is finalized and Binance displays the Close and Open prices on the ETH/USDT chart.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, causing temporary price gaps. Polymarket may see heavier inflow from one trading cohort while Predict reflects another's conviction, especially in lower-volume windows. Latency in arbitrage, platform-specific UI friction, and varying settlement confidence also play roles. When spreads widen between venues, sophisticated traders exploit the gap by buying cheap on one platform and selling dear on the other, gradually narrowing the divergence. Monitoring both prices helps you identify mispricing and time entry and exit points more precisely.

Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, and Bitcoin momentum are primary catalysts for Ethereum directional swings. Regulatory news—especially from the SEC or international bodies—can trigger sharp repricing. Layer 2 adoption metrics, Ethereum network upgrades, and staking yield changes also influence trader positioning. Liquidation cascades on leveraged platforms can amplify moves in either direction. Tracking on-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale wallet activity, and derivative funding rates provides early signals of shifting conviction before odds visibly shift on this market.