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406,019

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2,689

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5

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39%

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Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6AM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Ethereum be up on June 27, 6AM ET?

Volume:
$2,764

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6AM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6AM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3,656
$882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's price on Binance (ETH/USDT pair) closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning at June 27, 6AM ET. Resolution is binary: 'Up' if close >= open, otherwise 'Down'. Both platforms use identical resolution logic tied to Binance's official 1H candle data.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria tied to the same Binance data source, with no divergence in logic, timing, or settlement value.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1-hour candle (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to 'Up' if the close price >= open price for the 1H candle beginning June 27, 6AM ET
  • Market resolves to 'Down' if the close price < open price for the same candle
  • Resolution uses only Binance ETH/USDT data; other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded
  • Close and Open values are read from the 1H candle display at the top of the Binance chart once candle data is finalized

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact tie (close == open): Market resolves to 'Up' per the >= condition in the resolution criteria
  • Binance data unavailability or exchange outage: Resolution logic does not specify fallback behavior; market may face cancellation or dispute if Binance data cannot be retrieved after candle close
  • Candle finalization timing: Resolution occurs only after the 1-hour candle is fully closed and Binance data is finalized; real-time or mid-candle prices are not used
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle beginning June 27, 6AM ET closes on Binance (i.e., at 7AM ET on June 27), once Binance finalizes the candle data.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates its own order book and liquidity pool, so traders may price the same outcome differently depending on local supply and demand. Polymarket and Predict attract distinct user demographics, risk tolerances, and trading strategies, which can widen or narrow the spread between them. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary friction—such as withdrawal delays, fee structures, or platform-specific incentives—can keep prices misaligned. Monitoring both venues helps you identify the best entry and exit points and understand whether one platform is leading price discovery.

Macro catalysts—Federal Reserve policy shifts, inflation data, or risk-off sentiment—often drive broad crypto moves that would shift this market sharply. Ethereum-specific news, such as network upgrades, staking changes, or major smart contract developments, can trigger directional conviction. Regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, large exchange inflows or outflows, or whale accumulation patterns may signal imminent volatility. Technical levels and options expiry dates can also influence short-term momentum. Monitoring on-chain metrics, social sentiment, and macro calendars helps traders anticipate moves before they're priced in.