TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2PM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Ethereum be up at June 27, 2PM ET?

Volume:
$6,136

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2PM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Volume
24h
7d
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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2PM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,074
$1,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum's price on Binance (ETH/USDT pair) closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning at 2PM ET on June 27. Resolution is binary: 'Up' if close >= open, 'Down' otherwise.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: comparison of close versus open price on the Binance ETH/USDT 1H candle for the specified time window, with no divergence in logic, source, or outcome mapping.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT pair, 1-hour candle chart (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins at 2PM ET on June 27
  • Extract the open price (O) and close price (C) from the Binance ETH/USDT chart for that candle
  • If close price >= open price, resolve to 'Up'
  • If close price < open price, resolve to 'Down'
  • Use only Binance ETH/USDT data; no alternative exchanges or trading pairs are valid

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle finalization: Resolution occurs only after the 1-hour candle is fully closed and finalized on Binance; partial or in-progress candle data is not used
  • Price equality: If close price exactly equals open price, the market resolves to 'Up' per the >= condition
  • Data source exclusivity: Only Binance ETH/USDT pair data is authoritative; prices from other exchanges, derivatives, or trading pairs are not considered
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle beginning at 2PM ET on June 27 closes and finalizes on Binance, typically at 3PM ET on the same dateOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect trader conviction about future price direction, whereas spot prices represent current market consensus. This market isolates directional bets from leverage, funding rates, and derivatives positioning, offering a cleaner signal of whether participants expect upward or downward movement. Odds above fifty percent suggest bullish lean; below fifty percent, bearish. Comparing these odds to technical levels, on-chain metrics, and macro sentiment helps traders validate whether prediction markets are pricing in information that spot markets have not yet fully absorbed.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve communications, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin price action, and Ethereum-specific developments such as network upgrades or regulatory announcements. Large liquidations or whale transactions can trigger sharp intraday swings. Geopolitical events, traditional market volatility, and shifts in stablecoin demand also ripple through crypto prices. Monitoring on-chain metrics, funding rates, and options implied volatility provides early warning of directional conviction shifts before they fully price into this market.