TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to stake on a specific outcome, whereas spot price expectations are typically derived from technical analysis, analyst forecasts, or broader market sentiment. This market's odds represent a financial commitment—traders who believe Ethereum will move up or down by the deadline are putting real capital behind that view. The divergence between prediction odds and what traditional analysts expect can reveal whether the market is pricing in tail risks, upcoming catalysts, or consensus that mainstream commentary may have missed.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the Ethereum price movement at the specified time is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether ETH closes above or below its price at the exact moment specified, confirmed through established market data. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event, allowing traders to see final results and settle their positions promptly.
Major catalysts include macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, Bitcoin price action, regulatory news affecting crypto markets, and Ethereum-specific developments like network upgrades or large whale transactions. Technical levels and support/resistance zones can also trigger sharp repricing as traders adjust hedges. Volatility spikes in traditional markets, changes in stablecoin reserves, or shifts in institutional sentiment toward digital assets may all influence how traders position ahead of the June 25 snapshot, causing odds to swing significantly in the final hours.