TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Ethereum's directional movement during the June 2 window, which may differ from traditional spot price forecasts or analyst sentiment. While spot markets price continuous trading, this event market isolates a specific four-hour interval, capturing concentrated conviction about intraday volatility and direction. Comparing prediction odds to analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in tail risk, macro catalysts, or routine consolidation for that particular morning.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET market uses an automated market maker model where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of liquidity and recent trades between the Up and Down sides. Prices update continuously as new orders flow in, and the spread between bid and ask widens or tightens based on available depth. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes at Jun 2, 2026.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET market resolves at Jun 2, 2026, marking the end of the four-hour observation window on June 2. The outcome is determined by Ethereum's price movement during the specified 8:00AM to 12:00PM ET timeframe. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout once the market settles and the result is finalized on Polymarket.
Several catalysts could influence Ethereum's direction during the June 2 window. Macro economic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, or major crypto regulatory announcements could spark volatility. On-chain activity, large whale transactions, or shifts in staking or DeFi protocol usage may signal directional bias. Bitcoin's movement often correlates with Ethereum, so BTC price action during that morning could be decisive. Additionally, options expiry, futures funding rates, or liquidation cascades on leverage platforms could amplify intraday swings and determine whether the market resolves Up or Down.