TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Ethereum's directional move by June 2, 6PM ET, which may diverge from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment and event risk over the full forecast window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts that spot traders may not yet have fully priced in.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET contract is priced as a binary outcome, with traders buying and selling shares representing either an up or down move. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative probability assigned by the market; higher prices indicate stronger consensus. Liquidity and order-book depth on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions, and prices adjust continuously as new trades occur and information flows in.
Key catalysts for Ethereum price direction include major protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, macroeconomic data influencing risk sentiment, and Bitcoin price movements that often drive altcoin correlation. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows, whale transactions, and staking activity can signal trader conviction. Additionally, broader market events like Federal Reserve decisions, traditional finance volatility, or competing blockchain developments may shift trader expectations reflected in Polymarket odds before the June 2 deadline.