TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability implied by order flow and liquidity depth. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before resolution, and the share price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. Polymarket's automated market maker and order book mechanisms ensure continuous pricing, allowing real-time discovery of the market's view on Ethereum's price direction by the June 2 deadline.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the specified resolution timestamp against a reference baseline. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution process is automated and final once the market closes, ensuring all positions settle according to the predetermined criteria tied to Ethereum's price movement.
Several catalysts could shift Ethereum's price direction before June 2, 5PM ET. Major regulatory announcements, Federal Reserve policy decisions, or macroeconomic data releases often trigger broad crypto volatility. Ethereum-specific developments such as network upgrades, staking changes, or large institutional flows can also influence price. Bitcoin movements frequently lead altcoin sentiment, so BTC momentum is a key signal. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and liquidation cascades on leverage platforms may create sharp intraday swings. Monitoring on-chain metrics, derivatives positioning, and news flow helps traders anticipate directional moves.