TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Ethereum's directional move by June 2, 4PM ET, which may diverge from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in forward-looking sentiment and tail risks over the full event window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets, on-chain metrics, or macro sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in a bullish or bearish bias relative to fundamental expectations. This gap often signals trading opportunities or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. The current implied probability reflects the collective bets of all market participants. Share prices range from 0 to 1, with the sum of both outcomes equaling 1. As traders adjust positions ahead of the June 2, 4PM ET resolution time, prices shift to balance supply and demand. Volume and liquidity on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at fair prices.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the specified snapshot time against a reference baseline. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive the full payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The exact price source and measurement methodology are defined in the market's terms at creation. Monitoring Ethereum's price action in the hours leading up to resolution is critical for managing your position and understanding final settlement.
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET odds may shift in response to macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve commentary, Bitcoin price moves, and Ethereum-specific developments such as network upgrades or regulatory news. Major crypto exchange announcements, staking changes, or shifts in institutional demand can also influence short-term directional bias. Technical levels and options expiry dates may create volatility clusters. On-chain metrics like whale transactions or exchange inflows can signal accumulation or distribution pressure. Monitoring these catalysts in real time helps you anticipate market repricing before June 2, 4PM ET.