TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET

Volume:
$4,178

Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 18, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Ethereum price movement market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price data for this binary outcome event. Traders can monitor the current probability reflected in the market, along with 24-hour volume and order-book depth to gauge liquidity and sentiment. The dashboard tracks how the community is pricing the direction of Ethereum's value at the specified time, giving you a live snapshot of collective expectations versus spot price movements across major exchanges.

Prediction market odds often diverge from spot price momentum because they reflect longer-term conviction and tail-risk pricing rather than intraday volatility. While spot exchanges respond instantly to news and technical levels, this market aggregates trader belief about where Ethereum will settle by the resolution deadline. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in event risk, regulatory shifts, or macroeconomic headwinds that spot traders may be discounting.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker and order-book mechanism, with each share representing a claim on the outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative bets placed by participants; as more capital flows into the up or down side, the odds shift to rebalance supply and demand. This continuous pricing mechanism means the market adapts in real time to new information, news, and trader conviction.

This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning side is determined by whether Ethereum's price has moved up or down at the specified time, measured against the reference level established at market creation. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the deadline as the platform verifies the final price data.

Major catalysts include Ethereum network upgrades, regulatory announcements from the SEC or international bodies, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price action, and changes in staking yields or DeFi activity. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can also trigger algorithmic trading and cascade moves. Geopolitical events, central bank policy shifts, and competing layer-one developments may influence trader positioning as the deadline approaches, causing sharp repricing in either direction.