TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET

Volume:
$14,330

Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 10:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Chance %
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Spread
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Volume
24h
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polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Ethereum price movement market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price data for this binary outcome event. Traders can monitor the current probability implied by the market, review 24-hour volume activity, and track how sentiment has shifted since the market opened. The dashboard aggregates all trades on the platform, giving you a live snapshot of what participants collectively believe will happen to Ethereum's price by the specified deadline. This transparency lets you compare your own view against the crowd before placing a trade.

Prediction market odds reflect what traders believe will occur, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market prices in longer-term conviction about directional movement over a specific window. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst sentiment or technical levels can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than consensus expectations. This divergence is often where trading insight lies.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism, where buy and sell orders continuously update the probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the latest equilibrium between buyers and sellers, with each trade moving the odds incrementally. Liquidity depth determines how much slippage occurs on larger trades, so checking the order book helps you understand execution costs. Real-time price discovery means this market adjusts rapidly as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. The binary result—up or down—is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the resolution time to its level at market open. Once the event is verifiable from established market data, the platform finalizes the payout. Traders should note the exact timing to avoid last-minute surprises.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, Bitcoin momentum, and Ethereum-specific developments like network upgrades or ecosystem news. Broader crypto sentiment, central bank policy signals, and institutional adoption headlines can also swing odds significantly. Technical levels and on-chain metrics may influence trader positioning in the final hours. Monitoring news flow and social sentiment helps you anticipate sharp moves before they're fully priced in.