TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' consensus on Ethereum's directional move by June 13, 12AM ET, which may diverge from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and tail risks over the full forecast window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Significant gaps between prediction odds and spot technicals often signal trading opportunities or underpriced risk.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET market resolves on Jun 13, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Ethereum's price movement relative to the specified threshold or reference point. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the reference data is finalized, ensuring all positions settle fairly and transparently.
Key catalysts for Ethereum's direction include major protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite, and Bitcoin correlation moves. Large derivative liquidations or spot exchange inflows can trigger sharp price swings. Staking yield changes, layer-2 adoption milestones, and institutional fund flows also influence sentiment. Technical levels and options expiry clustering may create volatility around key dates. Monitoring on-chain metrics like whale accumulation, exchange reserves, and developer activity can help anticipate directional pressure before June 13.