TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Ethereum's directional move by June 12, 9PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment and event risk over the full duration. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. The current odds represent aggregated trader conviction, not a guarantee of spot price direction.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET market resolves at Jun 13, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the specified moment against the reference level established at market creation. Traders who backed the correct direction receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is final once the market settles, and all positions are closed automatically.
Several factors could shift Ethereum's price direction by June 12, 9PM ET, including major protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data releases, and Bitcoin price movements. Network activity metrics, staking yields, and developer sentiment can also influence trader positioning. Broader crypto market volatility, institutional inflows or outflows, and geopolitical events may trigger sharp directional moves. Technical levels and options expiry dates on other venues can create momentum. Monitoring on-chain metrics, news flow, and order book depth on Polymarket helps traders anticipate shifts in market odds before resolution.