TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Ethereum's directional move by June 12, 4PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and tail risks. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether traders are pricing in volatility, regulatory news, or macro shifts that spot prices have not yet fully reflected.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by whether Ethereum's price has moved up or down from a specified reference level. Traders should verify the exact settlement price source and timing rules on Polymarket before trading, as these details govern final payout distribution and determine which outcome holders receive their winnings.
Key catalysts for Ethereum price direction include major protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, and Bitcoin correlation moves. On-chain metrics like staking activity and whale transactions can signal institutional sentiment. Network security incidents, DeFi protocol exploits, or changes in Ethereum's competitive position versus Layer 2 solutions may also drive volatility. Monitoring crypto news, Federal Reserve policy, and Ethereum developer roadmap updates will help traders anticipate directional pressure before resolution.