TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, the Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each side. Prices move continuously as new trades execute, with higher prices indicating stronger conviction that an outcome will occur. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at competitive prices near the market probability.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by whether Ethereum's price moved in the specified direction from the reference point. Resolution is final once the market settles, and traders receive payouts based on which outcome occurred. The exact price source and measurement methodology are defined in the market's terms, ensuring objective and transparent settlement for all participants.
Several catalysts could shift Ethereum's price direction before June 12, 3PM ET. Regulatory announcements, major protocol upgrades, macroeconomic data, and Bitcoin price movements often drive Ethereum volatility. On-chain activity spikes, large exchange inflows or outflows, and shifts in institutional positioning can signal directional conviction. Market-wide risk-off events, changes in DeFi yields, or news about competing Layer 2 solutions may also influence sentiment. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate which way prediction market odds might swing.