TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Ethereum's directional move by June 12, 11AM ET, which may differ from current spot price sentiment or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and event-specific catalysts. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst consensus or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to broader crypto community expectations. This divergence often signals where informed traders see value.
Key catalysts for Ethereum price movement include major protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin price swings, and institutional adoption news. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may also trigger volatility. On-chain metrics like staking changes or whale transactions can signal trader sentiment. Market-wide events such as Fed policy shifts or geopolitical developments often ripple through crypto. Monitoring these signals on Polymarket can help traders anticipate shifts in implied probability before resolution.