TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET is priced as a binary contract where each outcome trades as a separate share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from near-zero to near-one dollar. Traders buy the outcome they believe will occur and sell if they wish to exit. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust dynamically based on order flow and liquidity. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as the market approaches resolution on Jun 12, 2026, typically narrowing uncertainty as new information emerges.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by whether Ethereum's price moved in the specified direction from the reference point established at market creation. Resolution occurs automatically once the snapshot is taken and verified. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The exact price source and measurement methodology are defined in the market's terms at creation.
Several catalysts could influence Ethereum's price direction before Jun 12, 2026. Regulatory announcements, Federal Reserve policy shifts, and macroeconomic data releases often trigger broad crypto volatility. Ethereum-specific developments—such as network upgrades, staking changes, or major smart contract exploits—can drive directional moves. Bitcoin price action frequently sets the tone for altcoins, including Ethereum. Market sentiment shifts from social media, whale wallet activity, and derivatives funding rates also signal momentum changes. Technical levels and options expiry dates may create price pressure near the resolution window.