TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract with two outcomes: Ethereum Up or Ethereum Down by Jun 11, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the current market price reflects the collective probability assigned by active participants. At any moment, the sum of both outcome prices equals one dollar. Prices shift continuously as new trades flow in, driven by technical levels, macro sentiment, and real-time Ethereum spot price action near the resolution window.
Key catalysts include major Ethereum network upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto, Bitcoin price movements (which often lead altcoin sentiment), macroeconomic data releases, and large on-chain transactions or whale activity. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can also trigger sharp moves. Monitor Ethereum developer updates, SEC guidance, Federal Reserve policy signals, and derivatives funding rates for clues about leverage and sentiment extremes. Sudden liquidations or options expiry events near Jun 11, 2026 may create volatility spikes.