TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Crypto
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET

Volume:
$10,293

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 5:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregate trader conviction about Ethereum's direction by June 11, 4AM ET, which may diverge from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action and technical levels, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment and event risk over the full window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in volatility or stability. Traders often use this comparison to identify mispricings between short-term price action and medium-term directional bias.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced using an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current odds reflect the cumulative positions of all traders; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price adjusts accordingly. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices move in response to new information. Polymarket's pricing mechanism ensures continuous discovery of fair value for Ethereum's directional move by June 11, 4AM ET, with traders earning or losing based on their prediction accuracy.

Ethereum's price direction by June 11, 4AM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, and Bitcoin momentum. Major smart contract upgrades, regulatory news, or institutional adoption headlines may also shift sentiment. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and whale accumulation patterns can signal directional bias. Broader crypto market correlation and risk-on or risk-off sentiment in equities often drive Ethereum's near-term moves. Traders should monitor these catalysts and adjust positions as new information emerges closer to the resolution window.