TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced using an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current odds reflect the cumulative positions of all traders; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price adjusts accordingly. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices move in response to new information. Polymarket's pricing mechanism ensures continuous discovery of fair value for Ethereum's directional move by June 11, 4AM ET, with traders earning or losing based on their prediction accuracy.
Ethereum's price direction by June 11, 4AM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, and Bitcoin momentum. Major smart contract upgrades, regulatory news, or institutional adoption headlines may also shift sentiment. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and whale accumulation patterns can signal directional bias. Broader crypto market correlation and risk-on or risk-off sentiment in equities often drive Ethereum's near-term moves. Traders should monitor these catalysts and adjust positions as new information emerges closer to the resolution window.