TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET is priced as a binary contract where each outcome has a probability-weighted price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing either the up or down outcome, and the market price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome's likelihood. Prices range from near zero to near one dollar, with the sum of both outcomes equaling one dollar. As traders place orders, prices adjust in real time based on supply and demand. The current market probability is visible as a percentage, allowing you to quickly assess whether the market leans bullish or bearish on Ethereum's direction by the June 11 deadline.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Ethereum's price direction relative to a reference point at the specified time. The market will settle to either the up or down outcome based on the final price data captured at the resolution deadline. Once the outcome is confirmed, winning shares pay out in full and losing shares expire worthless. Traders should monitor the exact resolution criteria and data source used by Polymarket to ensure they understand how the final price will be measured and verified.
Several catalysts could shift Ethereum's price direction before June 11, 3PM ET. Major regulatory announcements, approval or rejection of spot Ethereum ETFs, macroeconomic data affecting risk appetite, and Bitcoin price movements often drive Ethereum volatility. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may trigger algorithmic trading. Network upgrades, security incidents, or major protocol changes could impact sentiment. Broader crypto market sentiment, Federal Reserve policy signals, and geopolitical events also influence trader positioning. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and whale transactions may signal accumulation or distribution. Monitoring these signals alongside Polymarket odds can help you anticipate market moves and adjust your view before the resolution deadline.