TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Crypto
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET

Volume:
$16,463

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Ethereum's directional move, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot price charts show historical volatility and recent trends, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment and incorporate tail risks that casual observers might miss. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Traders often use this divergence to identify mispricings relative to their own fundamental or technical outlook.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of shares traded and the liquidity pool depth. Prices move as new orders flow in, with higher trading volume typically narrowing bid-ask spreads. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 11, 2026, and the final settlement price is determined by the outcome at the specified time. Polymarket's automated market maker model ensures continuous pricing even during low-volume periods.

The Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET market resolves at Jun 11, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Ethereum's price movement relative to the specified threshold. Winning traders receive their payout based on which outcome occurred, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution is final once confirmed, and all shares are settled in the winning outcome's favor. Traders should monitor the market closely in the final hours before expiration, as volatility often increases near the resolution time.

Several catalysts could influence Ethereum's price direction before Jun 11, 2026. Macro events such as Federal Reserve announcements, Bitcoin price swings, or major regulatory news can trigger sharp moves. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows or whale transactions may signal accumulation or distribution pressure. Layer 2 adoption announcements, Ethereum core development updates, or broader crypto market sentiment shifts could also drive volatility. Technical levels and options expiry dates may create support or resistance. Traders should monitor news feeds, on-chain data, and macro calendars to anticipate moves that could swing the outcome.