TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of shares traded and the liquidity pool depth. Prices move as new orders flow in, with higher trading volume typically narrowing bid-ask spreads. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 11, 2026, and the final settlement price is determined by the outcome at the specified time. Polymarket's automated market maker model ensures continuous pricing even during low-volume periods.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET market resolves at Jun 11, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Ethereum's price movement relative to the specified threshold. Winning traders receive their payout based on which outcome occurred, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution is final once confirmed, and all shares are settled in the winning outcome's favor. Traders should monitor the market closely in the final hours before expiration, as volatility often increases near the resolution time.
Several catalysts could influence Ethereum's price direction before Jun 11, 2026. Macro events such as Federal Reserve announcements, Bitcoin price swings, or major regulatory news can trigger sharp moves. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows or whale transactions may signal accumulation or distribution pressure. Layer 2 adoption announcements, Ethereum core development updates, or broader crypto market sentiment shifts could also drive volatility. Technical levels and options expiry dates may create support or resistance. Traders should monitor news feeds, on-chain data, and macro calendars to anticipate moves that could swing the outcome.