TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
The market resolves at Jun 10, 2026, marking the end of the four-hour trading window on June 10. Resolution is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the close of the 12:00PM ET window to its price at the 8:00AM ET open. The outcome is binary: if the closing price is higher than the opening price, the up outcome wins; if lower, the down outcome wins. The specific price source and any tie-breaking rules are defined in the market's terms. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout automatically upon resolution.
Several catalysts could drive Ethereum's direction during that four-hour window. Macro events include Federal Reserve announcements, inflation data, or broader risk-on/risk-off sentiment shifts affecting crypto markets. Ethereum-specific triggers include major network upgrades, regulatory news, large exchange inflows or outflows, or significant smart contract activity. Technical factors such as support and resistance levels, options expiry, or liquidation cascades can amplify short-term volatility. Market sentiment around competing L1 blockchains or DeFi developments may also influence price action. Traders monitor these signals to adjust positions ahead of the June 10 window.