TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Ethereum's directional move by Jun 10, 2026, which may diverge from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and tail risks. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to near-term technical levels and macro catalysts.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down outcome by Jun 10, 2026. The current implied probability for each side is determined by the order book and recent trades. Liquidity and volume on Polymarket reflect the collective conviction of participants betting on Ethereum's direction. Prices update continuously as new orders flow in, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at market rates.
Key catalysts include major macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, and regulatory developments affecting crypto. On-chain metrics such as large whale transactions, staking changes, or network upgrades can shift sentiment. Bitcoin price action often leads Ethereum moves, so BTC volatility is critical to monitor. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and derivative liquidation cascades may also trigger sharp swings. Geopolitical events and traditional market risk-off episodes can amplify downside pressure on altcoins.