TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus about Ethereum's direction by June 10, 12AM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot prices react to immediate market moves, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and event risk over the full duration. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in volatility, regulatory news, or macro factors that spot traders may not yet have fully discounted.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders; as traders accumulate positions, the price adjusts. Liquidity and order flow on Polymarket determine how quickly prices move in response to news or technical levels. Traders can enter or exit positions continuously until the market resolves on Jun 10, 2026.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Ethereum's price movement relative to the reference level established at market creation. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria and data source are specified in the market terms on Polymarket.
Major catalysts for Ethereum price direction include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, Bitcoin momentum, and Ethereum-specific developments like network upgrades or staking changes. Market-wide risk-off sentiment, central bank policy signals, and large liquidations can trigger sharp moves. Technical levels and options expiry dates may also influence price action. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, whale transactions, and derivative funding rates as leading indicators of directional bias heading into the June 10 resolution.