TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
The market resolves at Jun 10, 2026, marking the end of the four-hour trading window on June 10. Resolution is determined by comparing Ethereum's closing price at 4:00PM ET against its opening price at 12:00PM ET on that date. If the closing price is higher, the Up outcome resolves to yes; if lower, the Down outcome resolves to yes. This intraday structure isolates a specific market session, allowing traders to make focused bets on short-term price direction without exposure to overnight or multi-day volatility. The binary outcome ensures clear settlement once the window closes and final prices are recorded.
Several catalysts could influence Ethereum's direction during the June 10 midday window. Macro events such as Federal Reserve announcements, inflation data, or major tech earnings reports can shift risk appetite and crypto sentiment. On-chain metrics like large whale transfers, exchange inflows, or staking changes may signal accumulation or distribution pressure. Ethereum-specific news including protocol upgrades, regulatory developments, or major DeFi events could trigger directional moves. Bitcoin volatility often spills into Ethereum, so BTC price action during that four-hour window is critical. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and derivative liquidation cascades can also amplify intraday swings, making the noon-to-4pm ET session particularly sensitive to both scheduled announcements and unexpected market shocks.