TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this binary event is priced as two complementary outcomes: Ethereum Up or Ethereum Down by June 1, 3PM ET. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 100 cents, reflecting the implied probability of each direction. The current odds reflect accumulated trades and liquidity on the platform. As the event date approaches, prices typically tighten and converge toward resolution, driven by new information, technical levels, and trader positioning.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by Ethereum's price direction at the specified time. Traders holding winning outcome shares receive their payout once the event settles. The exact price reference point and data source used for settlement are defined in the market's terms. Participants should review the full resolution criteria before trading to ensure they understand how the outcome will be officially determined and when payouts will be distributed.
Ethereum's price direction by June 1, 3PM ET could be influenced by major crypto market catalysts, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data, Bitcoin momentum, and Ethereum-specific developments like network upgrades or staking changes. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may trigger algorithmic trading. Broader risk sentiment, Fed policy shifts, or institutional adoption news can also shift directional bias. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, derivatives positioning, and sentiment indicators to anticipate moves. Unexpected geopolitical or financial events could create sharp volatility in either direction.