TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each side. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to balance supply and demand. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction that Ethereum will move up; lower prices suggest the down outcome is favored. Liquidity and order flow on Polymarket determine how quickly prices respond to new information about Ethereum's expected direction.
The Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Ethereum's price at the specified moment against the reference level established at market creation. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their winnings, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution is final once the market settles, and funds are returned to winners' accounts. The exact price source and measurement methodology are defined by the market terms on Polymarket.
Several catalysts could shift Ethereum's price direction before June 1, 2PM ET. Major regulatory announcements, changes in Bitcoin's momentum, or shifts in macroeconomic sentiment often drive crypto markets. Ethereum-specific developments such as network upgrades, staking changes, or large institutional moves can also influence price. Market-wide events like Fed policy shifts or geopolitical tensions may trigger volatility. On-chain metrics, whale transactions, and derivative funding rates can signal trader positioning. Technical breakouts or breakdowns around key support and resistance levels may accelerate moves in either direction, affecting how Polymarket odds evolve leading up to resolution.