TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 10AM ET
polymarket

Will Ethereum be up on July 10, 2026 at 10AM ET?

Volume:
$9,664

Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 10AM ET

 - Polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 10AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 11:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 10AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Ethereum price direction market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price data for this binary outcome event. Traders can monitor the current probability implied by the market, review 24-hour volume activity, and track how sentiment has shifted since the market opened. The dashboard surfaces the live bid-ask spread, recent trade history, and cumulative volume to help participants assess liquidity and positioning. This snapshot reflects only Polymarket's order book and does not aggregate data from other venues.

Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively expect Ethereum's price direction to be at the specified time, whereas spot price expectations reflect current market sentiment on traditional exchanges. This market aggregates the beliefs of participants willing to stake capital on their conviction, often incorporating forward-looking analysis that spot prices alone may not fully capture. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can highlight where consensus diverges or where edge may exist.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying or selling shares directly moves the price based on the liquidity pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the current price reflects the cumulative positioning of all participants. As more capital flows into one side, the probability shifts accordingly, ensuring the market continuously reprices based on new information and trader conviction.

This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on Ethereum's verified price direction at that moment. The result will be determined by credible public price data available at settlement time. Once the event is observable and confirmed, the market locks in the winning outcome and traders receive payouts accordingly.

Major catalysts for this market include macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy shifts, and Ethereum-specific developments such as network upgrades or regulatory news. Broader crypto sentiment swings, Bitcoin price action, and institutional adoption announcements can all influence trader positioning. On-chain metrics, staking changes, and shifts in developer activity may also signal longer-term conviction. Real-time news flow and technical breakouts closer to the resolution date typically drive the most volatile repricing.