TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ethereum price on September 5?
kalshi
polymarket

Ethereum price on September 5?

Volume:
$154,287

$2,450 to 2,489.99

 - Kalshi

$2,450 to 2,489.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$2,450 to 2,489.99

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,369
N/A
N/A
$20,684
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2,400-2,500

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$2,410 to 2,449.99

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65,080
N/A
N/A
$6,210
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,490 to 2,529.99

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,895
N/A
N/A
$6,796
Settled
No
polymarket

2,500-2,600

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,300-2,400

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,370 to 2,409.99

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,166
N/A
N/A
$2,802
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,330 to 2,369.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,146
N/A
N/A
$2,113
Settled
No
polymarket

2,100-2,200

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,530 to 2,569.99

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,177
N/A
N/A
$1,177
Settled
No
polymarket

<2,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$769
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,600-2,700

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,200-2,300

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,000-2,100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,700-2,800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2,800-2,900

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>2,900

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$2,570 to 2,609.99

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,489.99 or below

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,490 to 1,529.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,530 to 1,569.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,570 to 1,609.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,610 to 1,649.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,650 to 1,689.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1,690 to 1,729.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group concerns the price of Ethereum on September 5, 2026. The markets differ in their resolution criteria and sources, with Kalshi using a specific index average and Polymarket using Binance price data.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in settlement value definition and timing between Kalshi and Polymarket.Hero tip: Be cautious when trading across these platforms due to differing resolution sources and timing. Consider the potential for divergent outcomes and adjust your positions accordingly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on Binance ETH/USDT closing price at noon ET on September 5, 2026, with specific bracket questions.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT on September 4, 2026, with a single Yes/No outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on September 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range: if the average falls within a given range, that market resolves as 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves as 'No'. Price data from sources like Google or Coinbase may differ, and the official value exclusively uses CF Benchmarks' ERTI. At the minute before expiration, sixty ERTI prices are collected, averaged, and serve as the binding determinant for all outcomes. Ranges are contiguous and non-overlapping, ensuring exactly one market resolves as 'Yes' unless the price falls outside all defined intervals, in which case all resolve as 'No'.