TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the Ethereum price on September 17. These odds represent what traders believe is the most likely outcome, based on their analysis of available information. This differs from simple spot price expectations, which are a snapshot of the current market value. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more nuanced view than individual analyst predictions. It’s important to remember that these are probabilistic forecasts, not guarantees of future prices.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Ethereum price on September 17 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of Ethereum as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source. This ensures an objective and transparent determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor news and market data leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential price movements and their impact on this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 17, 2026. Major developments in Ethereum’s network, such as successful upgrades or unexpected technical issues, could influence price expectations. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, can also impact the cryptocurrency market. Regulatory news related to Ethereum or the wider crypto industry could also create volatility. Finally, significant shifts in market sentiment, driven by influential figures or unexpected events, could lead to substantial changes in the odds within this market.