TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate market conditions, this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders about the future price of Ethereum. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability from this market and the consensus among analysts or polls, it could indicate that traders possess information not yet reflected in spot prices. This discrepancy can be a valuable signal for those seeking alternative viewpoints on Ethereum's potential price movement.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Ethereum price on September 14th. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market continually reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Ethereum price on September 14th is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for Ethereum pricing data. The specific price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures for verifying such information, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor the platform for official resolution announcements.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market before Sep 14, 2026. Major developments in Ethereum’s ecosystem, such as successful upgrades or unforeseen technical issues, could influence trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, often impact cryptocurrency markets. Regulatory announcements related to cryptocurrencies, particularly Ethereum, could also trigger substantial price movements. Finally, significant news regarding competing blockchain technologies or overall market risk appetite could also shift the odds in this market.