TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While analysts and polls may offer forecasts for Ethereum’s price, this market represents the collective prediction of individuals who have ‘skin in the game’ – they are financially incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This often leads to a more refined and potentially more accurate forecast, as traders actively update their positions based on new information and changing market conditions. Examining the differences between these predictions and broader market sentiment can be insightful.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different Ethereum price ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the market’s collective belief about the probability of that price range occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a specific price range is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds accurately represent the current consensus view.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on the price of Ethereum as recorded on a widely recognized exchange at a specific time on September 13. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s established procedures, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 13, 2026. Major developments in Ethereum’s ecosystem, such as successful upgrades or the launch of new decentralized applications, could positively impact the price. Conversely, negative news regarding security vulnerabilities, regulatory crackdowns, or broader macroeconomic factors affecting the cryptocurrency market could push the price down. Overall market sentiment, driven by news and social media trends, will also play a crucial role in shaping the odds in this market.