TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the Ethereum price on September 10, 2026. These odds often differ from simple spot price expectations or analyst predictions, as they represent a weighted assessment of numerous individual opinions. This market aggregates diverse perspectives, potentially identifying overlooked factors influencing the price. If a significant discrepancy exists between the market’s implied probability and prevailing analyst forecasts, it may signal a contrarian opportunity or a differing assessment of risk and potential reward related to Ethereum.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Ethereum price. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of the corresponding price range being correct. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure on a particular outcome will raise its price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This creates a real-time assessment of Ethereum’s potential price, driven by the collective intelligence of traders.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Ethereum as recorded on a widely recognized exchange at a specific time on September 10, 2026. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s established guidelines, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the market’s accuracy. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the final Ethereum price.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major developments in Ethereum’s technology, such as successful upgrades or unforeseen vulnerabilities, would likely cause price fluctuations. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency, particularly concerning Ethereum, could also trigger substantial movements. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, and overall market sentiment towards risk assets could also influence the price of Ethereum and, consequently, the dynamics of this market. Unexpected news regarding competing blockchain technologies could also shift trader sentiment.