TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. This market aggregates thousands of individual bets into a probability estimate, creating a real-time consensus that can signal where participants expect Ethereum to trade. Unlike passive price indices, prediction markets incentivize accuracy through financial stakes, making them a distinct barometer of forward-looking sentiment separate from traditional market pricing.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. The specific price range that occurred on that date determines which shares pay out in full. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout automatically, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution happens transparently once the event is verifiable from established reporting.
Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, macroeconomic data releases, regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrency, and significant on-chain or technical events. Large institutional moves, changes in Bitcoin correlation, and shifts in broader risk sentiment can all influence Ethereum price expectations. Market participants continuously reassess probabilities as new information emerges, so tracking economic calendars and crypto news sources helps explain odds movements in real time.