TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. In this market, odds represent aggregated bets on Ethereum's price at a specific future date, not its price today. Unlike traditional price charts, prediction odds incorporate uncertainty, time decay, and tail-risk premiums. Comparing these odds to analyst price targets or historical volatility can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism, pessimism, or equilibrium relative to consensus expectations.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. The result hinges on whether Ethereum's price falls within the specified range on that date. Once the event is verifiable from established market data, the resolution is final and payouts are distributed accordingly. Traders should monitor Ethereum's price action in the weeks leading up to resolution, as volatility or major news can shift both the spot price and market odds significantly.
Major catalysts that could shift this market include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic policy changes, technological upgrades to the Ethereum network, and shifts in institutional or retail demand for crypto assets. Bitcoin price movements often correlate with Ethereum, so broader market sentiment matters. Network developments, security incidents, or shifts in decentralized finance activity can also influence trader expectations. Additionally, traditional finance events—interest rate decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical tensions—can ripple into crypto markets and reshape the odds as traders reassess their positions.