TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, while spot prices represent current market value. This market aggregates thousands of individual bets into a probability, which often diverges from what traditional analysts or on-chain metrics suggest. When the odds shift sharply, it signals new information or a change in trader conviction. Comparing this market's implied price ranges to analyst forecasts and historical volatility patterns can reveal whether traders are pricing in tail risks or consensus expectations for Ethereum's movement.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares tied to specific price outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—such as whether Ethereum will trade between $1,900 and $2,000—has its own contract, and the price of that contract reflects the probability traders assign to it. As new information emerges or market conditions shift, traders adjust their positions, moving the odds up or down. The most actively traded outcome represents the consensus view, while less-favored ranges reveal tail-risk pricing.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. The specific price bracket you wagered on will be verified using established market data, and payouts are distributed accordingly. Until that date, odds will continue to shift as traders react to news, on-chain activity, macroeconomic developments, and broader crypto sentiment. The resolution process is automated once the event is verifiable, ensuring transparent and timely settlement.
Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, Bitcoin price movements, Ethereum network upgrades or security incidents, and macroeconomic data releases. Regulatory news—whether positive or restrictive—can shift sentiment sharply. Large on-chain transactions, changes in staking yields, or developments in competing Layer 2 solutions may also influence trader positioning. Technical levels and options expiry dates can create volatility spikes. Monitoring these signals helps you anticipate how this market's odds might evolve before the June 26 settlement.