TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about future price levels, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst consensus. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market embeds forward-looking expectations, volatility assumptions, and tail-risk premiums that traders believe will materialize by June 22. If major news, regulatory shifts, or macroeconomic events occur, odds can shift sharply as participants update their views. Comparing the implied probabilities here to traditional analyst price targets or options market pricing reveals where prediction traders see asymmetric opportunities or underpriced scenarios.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker or order-book model, with each share representing a claim on one outcome bracket. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to it; higher prices mean higher perceived likelihood. Liquidity pools or standing orders determine how easily traders can enter and exit positions. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing participants to profit from accurate forecasts or hedge existing exposure.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the Ethereum price on that date becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the official ETH/USD price at the specified time against the predefined brackets offered in the market. Resolution occurs after sufficient confirmation from major exchanges or price feeds, ensuring accuracy and preventing disputes. Traders who correctly predicted the winning bracket receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Major catalysts include Ethereum network upgrades, changes in regulatory stance toward crypto assets, macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite, and Bitcoin price movements (which often correlate with altcoin sentiment). Technical developments such as staking changes, layer-2 scaling announcements, or security incidents can trigger sharp repricing. Broader market events—central bank policy decisions, inflation data, or equity market volatility—also influence crypto valuations. Additionally, large whale trades, exchange inflows or outflows, and shifts in institutional adoption can rapidly reshape trader expectations and move odds across outcome brackets.